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Binary Options - Weekly Review

Week in Review for August 15th – 19th, 2016:

Headline: Equities still struggling, Commodities trading well, USD falling

This past week was another challenging one for the US markets. A range of downbeat economic data has caused traders to rethink the chances of another Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2016. The chances of a rise in the US interest hike has now reached about 40% compared to 50% only a week ago. On Friday the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.24% to close at 18,552.57 while the S&P 500 fell 0.14% to finish at 2,183.87. The NASDAQ finished 0.03% lower to close at 5,238.38. A few weeks ago, the US equity market appeared to be heading towards all-time highs, but that positive run seems to have stalled, as economic data has disappointed traders. Most of the major data releases recently (with the exception of the US NFP) have missed market expectations, which might put the FOMC on hold until next year.

Commodities continued to trade well in the past week, with oil pushing higher toward pre-Brexit levels, closing up 0.73% at $48.57/barrel. Precious metals declined with gold trading 0.84% lower to close at $1345.80/ounce and silver down 2.2%, closing at $19.31/ounce. Precious Metals have enjoyed the recent weakness of the US dollar on the back of weak economic data and increasing chances that the Fed will keep its rates on hold until 2017. The main event of the upcoming week that could impact commodities is the speech from Janet Yellen at the annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday, August 26th, where she will discuss monetary policy, and will have the chance to prepare the market for a September Hike, if the Federal Reserve is considering that.

In foreign exchange markets, the US dollar experienced a lot of volatility this past week, falling against its major peers (with the EUR and the JPY specifically). The USD/JPY currency pair traded below 100Yen/$, closing at 100.2100 on Friday. At the same time, the euro thrived against the US dollar to trade to its strongest level since June, closing at 1.1331 on Friday, while the GBP/USD continues to struggle closing at 1.3075 on Friday. Recent data shows that traders are holding extremely bearish view on the GBP. Commodities currencies are performing well as investors seek safe haven currencies, with the Canadian dollar supported by strong oil prices, and the Australian and New Zealand dollars attracting investors who are looking to gain from a lower US dollar.

We are approaching a pretty quiet week in terms of economic data. The main events of the week will be US GDP and Fed chair Yellen speech on Friday. On Tuesday August 23rd, Japan, France and Germany Manufacturing PMI will be released as well as US New Home Sales data. Then, on Wednesday August 24th, New Zealand Trade Balance and German GDP will be announced. On Thursday August 25th, Germany IFO Business Climate, US Durable Goods Order, US Initial Jobless Claims and US Service/Composite PMI will be released. Finally, on Friday, August 26th, Japanese CPI, French, UK and US GDP as well University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data will be announced.

Markets Review Archive

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
28-1 1-5 - - 2-6 6-10 4-8 1-5 - - - -
4-8 8-12 7-11 4-8 9-13 13-17 11-15 8-12 - - - -
11-15 15-19 14-18 11-15 16-20 20-24 18-22 - - - - -
18-22 22-26 21-25 18-22 23-27 27-1 25-29 - - - - -
25-29 29-4 28-1 25-29 30-3 - - - - - - -
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